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The ongoing shortage of labour and the rising costs for construction materials are the constant challenges facing the construction industry this year, as per market research by International project management company Turner & Townsend.
The consulting firm notes that the mood between construction firms that are based in Singapore in the current year has been an optimistic one due to the economic recovery that is spreading and an ongoing pipeline of private and public sector projects.
However, the consulting firm states that the uncertainty around supply chain issues as well as inflationary pressures are increasing the risk project participants are exposed to.
Construction outlook close to levels prior to pandemic
In the words of Khoo Sze Boon, managing director of Singapore and Vietnam of Turner & Townsend, construction activity in Singapore is at levels that are comparable to pre-pandemic. The industry ended 2021 with a booming performance with construction demand in the amount of $29.9 billion. states. This represents an increase of 42% more than the previous year.
Public sector investment projects like infrastructure projects and residential development made up around sixty% of the total work load last year.
This year it is predicted to continue to be responsible for about 40% of the work load according to Khoo. It’s too early to know whether the latest cycle of property cooling measures, which were introduced in December 2021 can dampen the demand for residential developments by private developers in the coming year, he adds.
“Most construction companies in Singapore entered 2022 with the goal of getting the majority of their projects free from the delays in project timelines which have plagued them for the past two years” Khoo says. Khoo. “For the construction companies this means they have more capacity to begin taking on new projects in the coming year.”
He says that the projects that were facing delays in the construction phase in 2020-2021 are now expected to be completed by the time scheduled. This is around eighty% of the totality of construction projects currently underway in Singapore. Some of the remaining construction projects that have some issues comprise a mixture of construction and infrastructure projects, he adds.
Based on the data of The Building and Construction Authority, the total construction demand for 2022 is predicted to be between $27 billion and $32 trillion. The figure is based on projects which are scheduled to receive funding this year, rather than payments made in installments to ongoing projects, according to Khoo.
Research conducted by Turner & Townsend estimates that the demand for public sector construction this year could be between 16% to $19 billion in contrast to $17.8 billion in construction spending in 2021. In contrast, private-sector construction projects could be worth between $11 and $13 billion, as compared to $12.1 billion in the previous year.
“Based upon our interactions with construction companies in Singapore it appears that most companies are interested in exploring commercial opportunities in the coming year. But I do believe that the pandemic has altered how stakeholders (in construction] interact with vendors and contractors,” Khoo says. Khoo.
He says the capacity of the majority of companies is over-extended, so the majority of construction firms will be more selective in deciding which projects to tackle this year.
Cost pressure that persists
Instretched border controls at the peak that the disease was raging of Singapore in 2021 resulted in the construction industry suffered from restrictions on the movement of workers who were migrant workers to the country. This led to a deterioration in the construction industry which eventually led to project delays and an increase in costs for labour.
The government came in by introducing a scheme to retain workers in September 2021 which “somewhat reduced” the situation in the workplace, Turner & Townsend says. However, the program ended February of this year.
“In the 2022-23 year and after it will be a long time before we can handle the shortage in resources (in the construction industryas well as the labour shortage likely to continue for a long time,” the consultancy notes in its report on the market.
Yet, Khoo notes that in general, the availability of labour migrants has improved recently, and has contributed in easing the strain on the workforce that construction companies are experiencing. “Overall the labor situation is certainly better when compared to last year’s situation,” he says.
The construction industry in Singapore is in a difficult spot because of the country’s dependence on imports for all construction materials. Khoo says that supply chain problems are still in place despite an increase in global demand, and supply chain bottlenecks and shortages continue to raise the cost of construction materials.
“In general over the course of 2021 we witnessed an increase in the cost of construction materials that was approximately 15% according to an array of construction materials we monitor. However, this year we expect an increase of around 5-% or 8%,” says Khoo.
For instance, the cost of steel bars rose 36.7% from $808.52 per tonnes in December 2020 to $1,105.5 per ton by December 2021. In the same way, the price of cement increased from $85.7 per tonne in December 2020 , to $97.5 per ton in December 2021, which is an increase of 13.8% increase.
According to Khoo the report, this could result in an upsurge in basic price of construction within Singapore over the next couple of months. “Pre-Covid the mass-market residential development could have the construction cost to be between $260 to $280 per sq ft. However, based on the rising price of building materials, it is possible that we may have the base construction costs rise to $300 per sq ft, depending of the site and the kind of project” he adds.
The industry is changing
In order for the construction industry to successfully tackle these challenges it is necessary to shift to a more cooperative attitude between contractors and other clients and stakeholders like developers or architects according to Khoo.
Typically, contractors begin to become more involved in a project at the construction phase. this happens after the client has collaborated on the layout of the project with architects as well as other consultants.
But, Khoo claims that it must develop into more of a collaborative approach to contracting which ensures that all stakeholders, such as contractors and builders are fully engaged in every aspect of the process.
This will enable us to manage risk more effectively and in a way that is fair across all parties. In the long run this method will increase the strength that the construction industry to stand up to the volatility of markets, he adds.
Looking forward, Khoo says that much of the foundations to ensure that the construction sector can flourish in the long-term is set out within the Industry Transformation Map, the government’s strategy to transform the industry of built environment, which includes the construction industry and incorporates technology to make it more interconnected.
Another aim of the map’s transformation is to educate 80,000 new professionals to work in the built environment industry. This emphasis on the development of capabilities in the construction sector is essential for ensuring a quicker rate of the adoption of technology and digitalization and the widespread utilization of more efficient methods of construction, within the local construction industry, according to Khoo.